MCX Event-Impact Data
A maintained ledger of how much MCX gold, silver, crude oil, copper and natural gas have historically moved in the session following recurring global data releases — CFTC positioning reports, EIA and API inventory data, Baker Hughes rig counts. Computed directly from MCX daily candle history, not estimated. Every figure below carries its sample size and last-verified date, and every claim BhaavBrief publishes in its daily brief is checked against this same ledger before publication (see Methodology).
Full ledger — sorted by average impact
| Event | Commodity | Avg move | Max move | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report | Crude Oil | 3.83% | 16.95% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Silver | 3.58% | 27% | 24 |
| API Crude Inventories | Crude Oil | 3.5% | 15.56% | 24 |
| Baker Hughes US Rig Count | Crude Oil | 3.14% | 14.31% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Crude Oil | 3.14% | 14.31% | 24 |
| EIA Natural Gas Storage Report | Natural Gas | 2.34% | 5.56% | 24 |
| Baker Hughes US Rig Count | Natural Gas | 2.34% | 10.94% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Natural Gas | 2.34% | 10.94% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Nickel | 1.56% | 8.88% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Gold | 1.54% | 11.66% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Copper | 1.19% | 4.98% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Aluminium | 0.99% | 3.91% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Zinc | 0.79% | 1.92% | 24 |
| CFTC Commitment of Traders (COT) Report | Lead | 0.71% | 3.52% | 24 |
Methodology
Each figure is the average and maximum absolute percentage move in the named MCX commodity future, from the prior trading session's close to the reaction-day close, following the last N occurrences of the named event — computed from MCX Kite historical daily candles via a fixed script (not manually curated).
"Historically moved by an average of X%" does not mean the next occurrence will move the same amount — it is a backward-looking sample statistic, not a forecast. Sample sizes (the last 24 occurrences of each event, at time of last verification) are shown so the statistic can be weighed accordingly.
This ledger is the same one BhaavBrief's daily brief generator is restricted to — a historical statistic can only appear in a published brief if it matches an entry here; see Methodology for the full publish-gate process.
BhaavBrief is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not registered with SEBI or any other regulatory authority. This data is historical and backward-looking — it is not a prediction, forecast, or trading recommendation.